0x50d65aed4b34399089c0291254862dfe434869f2
0x50d65aed4b34399089c0291254862dfe434869f2
- Realised P&L
- $-59.12
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $4.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.105 | $2.63 | −$0.38 |
| Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.520 | $1.57 | −$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.44at 0.165Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
- +$9.94at 0.216Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.22at 0.475Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
- +$6.91at 0.378Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
- +$5.94at 0.460Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 17:28 | Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.6599998939 | $1.99 |
| 08-05 21:20 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.2199999593 | $4.00 |
| 07-19 21:22 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.34 |
| 07-19 20:30 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2074999636 | $4.00 |
| 07-19 10:04 | Will Mikel Oyarzabal Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 10:02 | Will David Beckham attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 09:55 | Will Lionel Messi Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award? | BUY | 0.6499997942 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 09:52 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.92 | $13.14 |
| 07-14 20:16 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3449998603 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 19:42 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3649998878 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 04:28 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 07-13 11:42 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4124999751 | $6.00 |
| 07-03 23:37 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8389999446 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 08:55 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.0465576805 | $2.00 |
| 06-30 08:55 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |