TheMathGod
0x50d07d6744afc48905e7c947e91d7f4bec54a6fc
- Realised P&L
- $-59.6k
- Volume
- $631.0k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron vs. Miami (OH) · Miami (OH) | 0.770 | 0.905 | $896.77 | +$133.77 |
| Notre Dame vs. BYU · Notre Dame | 0.790 | 0.785 | $785.00 | −$5.00 |
| Chargers vs. Chiefs · Chiefs | 0.780 | 0.785 | $778.96 | +$4.96 |
| Wake Forest vs. California · Wake Forest | 0.770 | 0.775 | $768.96 | +$4.96 |
| North Carolina vs. Duke · Duke | 0.590 | 0.255 | $598.60 | −$786.40 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.500 | 0.495 | $63.36 | −$0.64 |
| Bills vs. Rams · Rams | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.1k |
| Rams vs. Broncos · Rams | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| California vs. UNLV · California | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.7kat 0.457Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)
- +$5.7kat 0.642Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics
- +$4.2kat 0.384Wyoming vs. San Jose State
- +$3.5kat 0.612Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- +$3.1kat 0.330Iowa vs. Michigan
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 16:17 | North Carolina vs. Duke | BUY | 0.5899999999 | $1.4k |
| 10-17 16:10 | Chargers vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.7799999998 | $774.00 |
| 10-17 16:09 | Wake Forest vs. California | BUY | 0.7699999999 | $764.00 |
| 10-17 16:08 | Akron vs. Miami (OH) | BUY | 0.7699999999 | $763.00 |
| 10-17 16:05 | Notre Dame vs. BYU | BUY | 0.79 | $790.00 |
| 10-17 16:02 | Ohio State vs. Indiana | BUY | 0.57 | $1.3k |
| 10-17 05:58 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.5 | $64.00 |
| 10-15 01:45 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.5899999995 | $300.00 |
| 10-13 00:08 | Bills vs. Rams | BUY | 0.62 | $8.1k |
| 10-11 06:45 | Texans vs. Titans | BUY | 0.76 | $755.00 |
| 10-11 06:43 | Eagles vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.77 | $2.4k |
| 10-11 06:41 | Bengals vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.76 | $755.00 |
| 10-11 06:40 | Eagles vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.77 | $770.00 |
| 10-10 05:59 | Texas A&M vs. Missouri | BUY | 0.6211721245 | $4.0k |
| 10-09 19:40 | Wyoming vs. San Jose State | BUY | 0.3773960687 | $2.6k |