TheCircleMaker
0x50d0198d52961f7fed74c4e7649eda65d630682e
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $166.64
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $45.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 20? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.340 | $13.62 | +$1.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.450 | $12.58 | +$0.56 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 21? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.320 | $11.31 | −$0.71 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 20? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.130 | $8.22 | −$3.80 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 21? | BUY | 0.3399999921 | $12.02 |
| 10-20 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.4299999903 | $12.02 |
| 10-20 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.2999999975 | $12.02 |
| 10-20 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.1899999997 | $12.02 |