RealLielie
0x50c9e848f36a0235100b67dffc5ed9acea0b25ba
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $739.47
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $84.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.323 | 0.295 | $31.99 | −$3.01 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.055 | $19.94 | −$9.06 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.297 | 0.215 | $14.46 | −$5.54 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.355 | $5.92 | +$0.92 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.492 | 0.436 | $4.44 | −$0.56 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.275 | $4.04 | −$0.96 |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.024 | $2.83 | −$3.17 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.022 | $0.94 | −$1.06 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 09:39 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.08 | $14.00 |
| 10-23 09:38 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3299999924 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 09:38 | Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.0479999996 | $2.00 |
| 10-23 09:36 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0508060576 | $6.00 |
| 10-23 09:35 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 09:35 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 18:23 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4919999819 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 18:23 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 18:22 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.08 | $15.00 |
| 10-22 18:22 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.32 | $25.00 |
| 10-22 18:21 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |