PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xliuliuliu

0x50c71eed7734f98358ddd5efc2e0356f6377e822

Realised P&L
$-16.90
Volume
$21.5k
Markets traded
210
Open portfolio
$2.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded210
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4400.835$1.90+$0.90
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 5? · Yes0.0420.006$0.14−$0.86
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6520.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Solana reach $150 in September? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 30? · Yes0.1740.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 01:50Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 5?BUY0.0419999997$1.00
10-03 01:49Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 4?BUY0.2289999595$1.00
10-03 01:49Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 4?BUY0.008$1.00
10-03 01:49Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3?BUY0.0969999939$1.00
09-30 16:02Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 1?BUY0.4699999944$10.00
09-30 15:43Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-30 15:43Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 1?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
09-30 15:42Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 30?BUY0.1741935405$3.00
09-30 05:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
09-30 05:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1?BUY0.0899999969$2.00
09-30 05:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
09-28 14:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 30?BUY0.109999989$1.00
09-28 14:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29?BUY0.0369999987$1.00
09-28 14:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28?BUY0.069999999$2.00
09-23 05:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETBUY0.08$1.00