0x50bd51b198467DCF7d2916e0e340de904568842e-1768011345783
0x50bd51b198467dcf7d2916e0e340de904568842e
- Realised P&L
- $41.15
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 191
- Open portfolio
- $3.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded191
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.05at 0.038Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
- +$31.16at 0.048Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
- +$12.98at 0.104Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$12.32at 0.113Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$11.86at 0.045Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:16 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 16:16 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2959999747 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 16:01 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0659999992 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 16:01 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 16:00 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999748 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 16:00 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999981 | $1.50 |
| 09-14 16:15 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.125 | $1.50 |
| 09-14 16:15 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3359999785 | $1.50 |
| 09-14 16:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1849999797 | $1.50 |
| 09-14 16:00 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999693 | $1.50 |
| 09-13 16:00 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $1.50 |
| 09-13 16:00 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0419999997 | $1.50 |
| 09-11 16:00 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999963 | $1.50 |
| 09-11 16:00 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999963 | $1.50 |
| 09-10 16:15 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.1079999991 | $1.50 |