v8v8
0x50ba637da02414b350949c33f2312767516558c3
- Realised P&L
- $2.29
- Volume
- $16.7k
- Markets traded
- 318
- Open portfolio
- $18.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded318
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-04 House seat? · No | 0.940 | 0.925 | $18.06 | −$0.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.39at 0.942Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakina
- +$0.27at 0.910Miami Open: Anna Blinkova vs Victoria Mboko
- +$0.24at 0.910Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Viktorija Golubic
- +$0.24at 0.890Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
- +$0.23at 0.958Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 05:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.976 | $8.07 |
| 06-09 13:57 | Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.976 | $7.49 |
| 06-09 07:31 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | SELL | 0.93 | $11.12 |
| 06-06 23:26 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.972 | $9.31 |
| 06-06 21:16 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.982 | $13.80 |
| 06-04 18:32 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.967 | $20.40 |
| 06-04 17:23 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.951 | $16.93 |
| 06-04 15:28 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.966 | $18.52 |
| 05-27 15:27 | Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $15.89 |
| 05-27 13:51 | Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakina | SELL | 0.96 | $21.71 |
| 05-27 13:43 | Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.94 | $21.25 |
| 05-26 21:12 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.98 | $20.46 |
| 05-26 09:24 | Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.974 | $20.21 |
| 05-26 07:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.976 | $20.01 |
| 05-25 15:32 | Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | SELL | 0.903 | $17.77 |