0x50b66dc5f047f99bcc8192479461853022ac9272
- Realised P&L
- $24.8k
- Volume
- $1.74M
- Markets traded
- 257
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded257
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $100 in August? · No | 0.951 | 0.961 | $1.1k | +$11.88 |
| Will XRP reach $1.40 in August? · No | 0.946 | 0.962 | $277.64 | +$4.62 |
| Will Solana reach $90 in August? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.125 | $24.66 | +$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.1kat 0.020Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?
- +$6.4kat 0.080Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
- +$6.1kat 0.019Will Solana dip to $50 in June?
- +$5.3kat 0.071Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?
- +$5.2kat 0.076Will Solana dip to $60 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 05:02 | Will XRP reach $1.20 in July? | BUY | 0.057 | $3.82 |
| 07-28 00:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? | BUY | 0.96155 | $1.9k |
| 07-28 00:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? | BUY | 0.96135428 | $1.9k |
| 07-27 13:36 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? | BUY | 0.21 | $156.78 |
| 07-27 13:35 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.10 |
| 07-27 04:07 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.29 |
| 07-27 04:04 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? | BUY | 0.19 | $0.17 |
| 07-27 01:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.17 |
| 07-26 22:32 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 07-20 15:46 | Will Solana reach $90 in July? | BUY | 0.07 | $21.07 |
| 07-20 15:12 | Will Solana reach $90 in July? | BUY | 0.06 | $29.90 |
| 07-20 11:36 | Will Solana reach $90 in July? | BUY | 0.06 | $13.27 |
| 07-20 09:51 | Will Solana reach $90 in July? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.85 |
| 07-15 13:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.12 | $22.00 |
| 07-15 13:03 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July? | BUY | 0.156 | $6.86 |