miguelon78
0x50b63f8eaf97ed70a79328c1407a577dcd76469b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $260.4k
- Markets traded
- 450
- Open portfolio
- $35.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded450
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$465.92at 0.268Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?
- +$315.20at 0.033Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21?
- +$214.42at 0.110Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on July 27?
- +$180.81at 0.209Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13?
- +$179.48at 0.087Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 16:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 12:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.018 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 21:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.0589999984 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 21:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.054999999 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 20:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.0439999995 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 20:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.00 |
| 09-21 19:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.0579999997 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 18:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.1079999991 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 18:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.1149999997 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 15:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21? | SELL | 0.059 | $4.28 |
| 09-21 15:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.2465890163 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 15:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.2079999917 | $2.00 |