PolyBot

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Traders

miguelon78

0x50b63f8eaf97ed70a79328c1407a577dcd76469b

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$260.4k
Markets traded
450
Open portfolio
$35.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded450
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on September 22? · Yes0.2620.185$15.96$6.63
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 22? · Yes0.1500.170$11.90+$1.40
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on September 22? · Yes0.0740.045$7.05$4.55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22? · No0.0400.001$0.48$37.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Down0.3330.000$0.00$30.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 14? · Yes0.1240.000$0.00$73.18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Up0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$2.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.2540.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Up0.0530.000$0.00$11.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET · Down0.1280.000$0.00$11.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? · No0.1050.000$0.00$42.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 16:01Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on September 22?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-22 16:01Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on September 22?BUY0.05$1.00
09-22 15:45Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on September 22?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
09-22 15:44Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on September 22?BUY0.1699999983$2.00
09-22 12:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?BUY0.018$10.00
09-21 21:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?BUY0.0589999984$2.00
09-21 21:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?BUY0.054999999$2.00
09-21 20:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?BUY0.0439999995$2.00
09-21 20:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?BUY0.05$4.00
09-21 19:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?BUY0.0579999997$5.00
09-21 18:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?BUY0.1079999991$3.00
09-21 18:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?BUY0.1149999997$10.00
09-21 15:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?SELL0.059$4.28
09-21 15:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?BUY0.2465890163$3.00
09-21 15:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?BUY0.2079999917$2.00