PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

shugafa

0x50b4ab8658dd8c9901c69208d275d81cdeaac879

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$1.85M
Markets traded
78,653
Open portfolio
$707.89

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded78,653
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat? · Yes0.9770.997$102.00+$2.00
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? · No0.7141.000$69.32+$19.80
Will Mari Humberg advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.9990.998$68.86$0.07
Will Trump post "Crime" on Truth Social this week? · Yes0.9990.995$64.67$0.26
Will Chao Yi Wang / Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Final in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.9990.969$64.49$2.03
Will Mari Humberg advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.9990.905$62.45$6.49
Will Mari Humberg advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.9990.971$62.11$1.82
Will Victoria DiMuzio / Tyson McGuffin advance to the Final in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.9990.905$60.26$6.26
Naida Oleksandr vs. Abalmaz Spartak · Naida Oleksandr0.9100.985$54.12+$4.12
Will Eric Oncins advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.9990.975$48.75$1.20
Will Cailyn Campbell advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.9970.971$19.40$0.52
Will the Colorado Rockies win more than 65.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · U 65.50.9991.000$18.15+$0.01
Will Kaitlyn Christian advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.9970.831$8.33$1.67
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 · Over0.9990.996$4.98$0.02
Flau'jae Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 · No0.9900.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:40Will Kaitlyn Christian advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.997$10.00
09-18 00:40Will Chao Yi Wang / Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Final in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.999$66.52
09-18 00:15Will Trump post "Crime" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.999$64.94
09-18 00:13Will Victoria DiMuzio / Tyson McGuffin advance to the Final in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.999$66.52
09-18 00:00Bitcoin above 76,600 on September 17, 8PM ET?BUY0.999$14.98
09-18 00:00Dogecoin Up or Down - September 17, 7PM ETBUY0.999$10.11
09-17 23:46Naida Oleksandr vs. Abalmaz SpartakBUY0.9099999991$50.00
09-17 23:36Will the Colorado Rockies win more than 65.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?BUY0.999$18.14
09-17 23:34Will Mari Humberg advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.999$63.94
09-17 23:33Will Mari Humberg advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.999$68.93
09-17 23:33Will Mari Humberg advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.999$68.93
09-17 23:31Will Eric Oncins advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.999$49.95
09-17 23:05Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5BUY0.999$5.00
09-17 22:54Will Cailyn Campbell advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.997$19.92
09-17 22:04Will Victoria DiMuzio advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.998$5.09