tinacox
0x50a944bfab7c81e93a4a553fc883d784fb394d6c
- Realised P&L
- $-20.75
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $25.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.665 | $15.31 | +$1.73 |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.575 | $9.91 | +$0.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.60at 0.650Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
- +$7.59at 0.610Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$3.57at 0.470Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
- +$0.50at 0.636TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
- +$0.20at 0.960Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999432 | $10.40 |
| 01-30 15:56 | Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January? | BUY | 0.9979999368 | $5.65 |
| 01-30 14:52 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.89 |
| 01-30 12:23 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.93 |
| 12-30 13:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999969 | $14.94 |
| 12-30 01:32 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.01 |
| 12-30 00:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999918 | $21.80 |
| 12-29 21:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $43.74 |
| 10-30 21:52 | Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $23.09 |
| 10-30 20:55 | Will Solana reach $240 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.01 |
| 09-29 12:09 | Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.46 |
| 09-28 21:53 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September? | BUY | 0.9979999674 | $11.88 |
| 09-28 20:19 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.05 |
| 09-28 20:18 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $10.70 |
| 08-31 14:39 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31? | BUY | 0.997999994 | $17.44 |