Ultrasound
0x50a90ca0cdb3b3e20c3334a89c9a361641731221
- Realised P&L
- $763.29
- Volume
- $236.6k
- Markets traded
- 276
- Open portfolio
- $2.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded276
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.039 | $2.40 | −$4.38 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET · Up | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$751.95 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET · Up | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$168.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Up | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET · Up | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$92.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Up | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$923.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.070Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
- +$1.2kat 0.200Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
- +$1.0kat 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
- +$832.00at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-29 09:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $69.00 |
| 05-29 08:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $39.95 |
| 04-05 20:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | BUY | 0.6 | $961.25 |
| 03-18 13:49 | Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-03-18? | BUY | 0.93 | $164.61 |
| 03-09 10:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $47.32 |
| 02-16 07:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.73 | $35.79 |
| 02-04 13:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $50.37 |
| 02-04 12:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $249.85 |
| 02-03 23:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.925585 | $923.39 |
| 02-03 23:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7637948 | $187.84 |
| 02-03 19:33 | Royer vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $319.31 |
| 02-03 19:32 | Royer vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $8.99 |
| 02-03 19:32 | Royer vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $8.99 |
| 02-03 19:32 | Royer vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $279.72 |
| 02-02 21:10 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02? | BUY | 0.94 | $42.30 |