ArcLing
0x50a832e2f544cd4a6842fac5fcc5a4425684143f
- Realised P&L
- $5.8k
- Volume
- $12.86M
- Markets traded
- 1,757
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,757
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$998.83at 0.990Wild vs. Devils
- +$925.83at 0.972Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?
- +$766.22at 0.978Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
- +$584.47at 0.992Will Elon tweet 370–384 times August 29–September 5?
- +$550.87at 0.190Golden Knights vs. Sabres
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 05:50 | Will Solana reach $130 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9909999998 | $17.77 |
| 10-08 05:47 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9689999985 | $17.77 |
| 09-30 15:31 | Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on September 30? | BUY | 0.998001996 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 16:17 | Will Solana reach $200 in September? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.69 |
| 09-29 09:48 | Will Solana reach $180 in September? | SELL | 0.999 | $186.12 |
| 09-29 09:47 | Will Solana reach $200 in September? | SELL | 0.999 | $243.24 |
| 09-28 17:39 | Will Solana reach $190 in September? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 09-28 17:35 | Will Solana reach $200 in September? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.8k |
| 09-27 06:50 | Will Solana reach $180 in September? | BUY | 0.9960039952 | $329.66 |
| 09-27 06:50 | Will Solana reach $190 in September? | BUY | 0.997002997 | $7.6k |
| 09-27 06:49 | Will Solana reach $200 in September? | BUY | 0.9980016217 | $6.2k |
| 09-26 06:17 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.7k |
| 09-26 06:16 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.8k |
| 09-26 06:16 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.8k |
| 09-26 06:16 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.8k |