PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ArcLing

0x50a832e2f544cd4a6842fac5fcc5a4425684143f

Realised P&L
$5.8k
Volume
$12.86M
Markets traded
1,757
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,757
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9880.992$1.7k+$6.54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9690.974$17.85+$0.08
Will Solana reach $130 October 5-11? · No0.9910.995$17.83+$0.06
Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$5.30
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$25.69
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$61.37
Will Team Resilience Win The International 2026? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$179.11
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$7.77
Will Vici Gaming Win The International 2026? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$74.25
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$18.97
Ethereum above 1,880 on July 23, 12PM ET? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$0.88
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$17.78
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on July 20? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$2.95
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$6.96
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 05:50Will Solana reach $130 October 5-11?BUY0.9909999998$17.77
10-08 05:47Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9689999985$17.77
09-30 15:31Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on September 30?BUY0.998001996$100.00
09-29 16:17Will Solana reach $200 in September?SELL0.999$3.69
09-29 09:48Will Solana reach $180 in September?SELL0.999$186.12
09-29 09:47Will Solana reach $200 in September?SELL0.999$243.24
09-28 17:39Will Solana reach $190 in September?SELL0.999$1.0k
09-28 17:35Will Solana reach $200 in September?SELL0.999$2.8k
09-27 06:50Will Solana reach $180 in September?BUY0.9960039952$329.66
09-27 06:50Will Solana reach $190 in September?BUY0.997002997$7.6k
09-27 06:49Will Solana reach $200 in September?BUY0.9980016217$6.2k
09-26 06:17Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?SELL0.999$2.7k
09-26 06:16Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?SELL0.999$7.8k
09-26 06:16Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?SELL0.999$7.8k
09-26 06:16Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?SELL0.999$7.8k