Yolly
0x50a82d4e10441fadd3c63bf1a759b3c707aaa799
- Realised P&L
- $-43.86
- Volume
- $15.7k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $187.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.468 | $46.80 | +$41.80 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? · No | 0.480 | 0.905 | $45.25 | +$21.25 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.187 | $37.40 | +$29.40 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September? · No | 0.520 | 0.715 | $35.75 | +$9.75 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September? · No | 0.420 | 0.445 | $22.25 | +$1.25 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · No | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.00 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July? · Yes | 0.203 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$293.00 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.27 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.00 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in September? · No | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 9? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.00at 0.540Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
- +$79.20at 0.802US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$67.00at 0.330Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 31-September 6?
- +$63.43at 0.300Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 in July?
- +$26.44at 0.056Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $44.00 |
| 09-16 03:10 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.064 | $12.80 |
| 08-13 09:10 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of August 10 2026? | SELL | 0.01196 | $1.20 |
| 08-13 03:52 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | SELL | 0.39 | $39.00 |
| 08-13 02:26 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of August 10 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.61 |
| 08-13 02:25 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of August 10 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $9.02 |
| 08-12 04:02 | Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | SELL | 0.66 | $33.00 |
| 07-06 15:33 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July? | BUY | 0.2 | $60.00 |
| 07-05 15:33 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July? | BUY | 0.077 | $7.70 |
| 07-05 15:26 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July? | BUY | 0.074 | $9.55 |
| 07-05 15:25 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July? | BUY | 0.21 | $105.00 |
| 07-05 05:31 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July? | BUY | 0.071 | $8.02 |
| 07-05 00:57 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July? | BUY | 0.2 | $80.00 |
| 07-04 01:45 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July? | BUY | 0.2 | $14.00 |
| 07-03 08:20 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July? | BUY | 0.2 | $34.00 |