SupremeLeaderKimmie
0x50a6ab5efa7638ac01bfc112bb49100fcd861a88
- Realised P&L
- $930.65
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $56.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.052Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
- +$203.03at 0.330Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
- +$41.22at 0.999Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?
- +$4.39at 0.820Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$-60.99at 0.278Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 17:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 05-05 16:56 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.4099999446 | $2.00 |
| 05-02 11:40 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.929999995 | $50.00 |
| 01-15 10:08 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.819999982 | $20.00 |
| 12-10 19:19 | Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference? | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 12-10 19:19 | Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference? | BUY | 0.0189999991 | $20.00 |
| 12-10 19:17 | Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference? | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 10-27 13:35 | Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors? | SELL | 0.1647490976 | $89.01 |
| 10-24 10:40 | Will David Corenswet be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 10:40 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0709999936 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 10:36 | Will Karla Sofía Gascón be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors? | BUY | 0.1969999735 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 11:06 | Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors? | BUY | 0.6799999971 | $66.00 |
| 10-23 10:59 | Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors? | BUY | 0.2699999989 | $140.00 |
| 10-22 14:38 | Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.5019447851 | $50.00 |
| 10-21 17:19 | US forces in Venezuela by December 31? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |