PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TonyBeetZ

0x50a3b6cb6fe6b987cdd541c8270fe855ed140a78

Realised P&L
$891.43
Volume
$246.4k
Markets traded
3,534
Open portfolio
$125.23

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,534
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration64.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5700.875$32.88+$11.46
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? · No0.7800.900$15.15+$2.02
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7750.215$10.75−$28.01
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.7480.155$10.23−$39.12
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.3000.049$9.60−$49.16
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.6690.100$7.61−$43.32
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.5250.075$7.28−$43.63
Will BNP Paribas fail by end of 2026? · No0.9500.967$6.91+$0.12
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? · Yes0.1700.045$6.08−$16.89
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0970.027$4.71−$12.23
Will UBS fail by end of 2026? · No0.9500.988$4.04+$0.16
Will Santander fail by end of 2026? · No0.9500.969$3.96+$0.08
Will HSBC fail by end of 2026? · No0.9500.978$2.99+$0.08
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.066$1.20+$0.10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2840.075$0.54−$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 14:03Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.42$1.83
06-25 14:03Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.43$1.90
06-25 14:03Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?SELL0.996$2.05
06-25 14:03Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.74$2.29
06-25 14:03Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.095$2.58
06-25 14:03Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?SELL0.984$4.07
06-25 14:02Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?SELL0.986$4.34
06-25 14:02Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?SELL0.995$4.51
06-25 14:02SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?SELL0.74$7.03
06-25 14:02Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?SELL0.73$4.55
06-25 14:02Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?SELL0.79$4.92
06-25 14:02Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?SELL0.993$5.01
06-25 14:02Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?SELL0.963$9.08
06-25 14:01Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.25$9.52
06-25 14:01Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?SELL0.9607539063$24.60