TonyBeetZ
0x50a3b6cb6fe6b987cdd541c8270fe855ed140a78
- Realised P&L
- $891.43
- Volume
- $246.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,534
- Open portfolio
- $125.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,534
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$319.98at 0.395Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
- +$269.82at 0.286Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
- +$259.77at 0.115Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
- +$165.15at 0.123Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
- +$154.56at 0.249Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 14:03 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.83 |
| 06-25 14:03 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $1.90 |
| 06-25 14:03 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $2.05 |
| 06-25 14:03 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $2.29 |
| 06-25 14:03 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.095 | $2.58 |
| 06-25 14:03 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | SELL | 0.984 | $4.07 |
| 06-25 14:02 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | SELL | 0.986 | $4.34 |
| 06-25 14:02 | Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.51 |
| 06-25 14:02 | SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $7.03 |
| 06-25 14:02 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.73 | $4.55 |
| 06-25 14:02 | Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $4.92 |
| 06-25 14:02 | Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $5.01 |
| 06-25 14:02 | Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.963 | $9.08 |
| 06-25 14:01 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.25 | $9.52 |
| 06-25 14:01 | Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.9607539063 | $24.60 |