barajasjoseph
0x50a099d55d87f7f1d285d0221670de875bbdae10
- Realised P&L
- $-2.13
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $6.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 11? · Yes | 0.805 | 0.585 | $6.24 | −$2.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.21at 0.988Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?
- +$0.20at 0.989Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?
- +$0.18at 0.989Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April?
- +$0.18at 0.988Will Solana reach $250 in April?
- +$0.09at 0.998Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:42 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.48 |
| 01-30 17:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.26 |
| 01-30 16:47 | Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.12 |
| 01-30 15:24 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.9979999982 | $16.71 |
| 01-30 11:57 | Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $46.08 |
| 12-30 14:17 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989997909 | $2.48 |
| 12-30 11:23 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.72 |
| 12-30 09:51 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.9979999247 | $12.49 |
| 12-30 09:33 | Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.26 |
| 12-29 21:21 | Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.37 |
| 12-29 21:16 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.14 |
| 10-30 23:58 | Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $20.09 |
| 10-30 21:32 | Will XRP reach $3.50 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.32 |
| 10-30 20:36 | Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.04 |
| 09-29 17:47 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BUY | 0.9989999162 | $10.14 |