PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Pharlapsbrother

0x50a06b58f233972373c26f9d679fdb2b43df440c

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$196.3k
Markets traded
220
Open portfolio
$5.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded220
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8220.855$2.2k+$86.54
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6770.625$757.60$62.94
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.8640.895$731.08+$25.35
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · No0.9200.971$399.26+$20.78
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8700.915$210.34+$10.35
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8450.830$180.65$3.35
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.8700.500$172.41$127.59
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8700.977$112.30+$12.30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · Yes0.8400.400$107.24$117.96
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9300.940$101.08+$1.08
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9200.925$100.54+$0.54
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.675$96.43$3.57
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.2200.178$54.79$12.81
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7800.790$3.03+$0.04
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Raphael Collignon · Collignon0.2300.000$0.00$6.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 22:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.84$8.40
08-01 22:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.84$16.80
08-01 12:14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.839999999$100.00
08-01 12:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.839999999$100.00
07-27 19:28Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?BUY0.92$100.00
07-27 19:26Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7$100.00
07-27 19:23Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9299999997$100.00
07-27 19:20Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8699999999$100.00
07-27 19:20Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8699999999$100.00
07-26 00:33Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8499999996$100.00
07-16 12:26Will Trump accuse Germany of election interference by July 16?BUY0.9699999998$100.00
07-16 12:26Will Trump accuse Germany of election interference by July 16?BUY0.9699999998$100.00
07-16 10:08Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?BUY0.7699999998$100.00
07-16 10:08Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?BUY0.7699999998$100.00
07-16 10:08Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?BUY0.77$214.83
Trader Pharlapsbrother · PolyBot