Pharlapsbrother
0x50a06b58f233972373c26f9d679fdb2b43df440c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $196.3k
- Markets traded
- 220
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded220
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.776Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$1.1kat 0.358Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?
- +$921.29at 0.725Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)
- +$882.31at 0.767Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
- +$787.54at 0.717Will the Greens win 4+ seats in Australian Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 22:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 08-01 22:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 08-01 12:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.839999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 12:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.839999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 19:28 | Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 19:26 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 19:23 | Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 19:20 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 19:20 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 00:33 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 12:26 | Will Trump accuse Germany of election interference by July 16? | BUY | 0.9699999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 12:26 | Will Trump accuse Germany of election interference by July 16? | BUY | 0.9699999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 10:08 | Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16? | BUY | 0.7699999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 10:08 | Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16? | BUY | 0.7699999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 10:08 | Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16? | BUY | 0.77 | $214.83 |