Masonsf
0x509e445533e90fcf4790556f5424e7ba1dcda281
- Realised P&L
- $-894.99
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $0.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.009 | $0.16 | −$0.22 |
| Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-1.5) · Kahrabaa Ismailia FC | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$695.60 |
| Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$316.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.27at 0.942Spread: CA Boston River (-1.5)
- +$34.00at 0.951Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)
- +$24.58at 0.963Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)
- +$18.02at 0.972Spread: Petrojet SC (-2.5)
- +$4.85at 0.984Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 06:41 | Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.941 | $451.68 |
| 07-09 08:36 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $205.65 |
| 06-11 06:09 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.093 | $17.48 |
| 06-11 05:59 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.094 | $17.67 |
| 06-02 06:41 | Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? | BUY | 0.91 | $316.68 |
| 05-18 08:21 | Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.94 | $695.60 |
| 05-18 06:32 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.951 | $699.94 |
| 05-15 07:27 | Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5) | BUY | 0.95 | $665.00 |
| 05-15 05:47 | Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $665.85 |
| 05-09 06:01 | Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5) | BUY | 0.962 | $640.69 |
| 05-09 04:46 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $639.93 |
| 05-08 04:27 | Spread: Petrojet SC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.971 | $621.44 |
| 05-08 03:54 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $621.44 |
| 05-07 06:31 | Spread: CA Boston River (-1.5) | BUY | 0.94 | $584.68 |
| 05-07 05:00 | Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30 | BUY | 0.989 | $583.51 |