0x50990474adbc72c3a30eb7e94febe8be0e15d83e
0x50990474adbc72c3a30eb7e94febe8be0e15d83e
- Realised P&L
- $-80.51
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $104.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.099 | $20.65 | +$7.51 |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.379 | 0.372 | $20.13 | −$0.38 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.236 | 0.389 | $16.46 | +$6.46 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.055 | $16.06 | −$53.94 |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.030 | $8.43 | −$1.52 |
| Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.007 | $8.33 | −$1.67 |
| Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.024 | $6.58 | −$0.63 |
| Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.012 | $4.00 | +$3.00 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.026 | $3.94 | −$6.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-80.51at 0.303Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 18:45 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.3790758696 | $20.51 |
| 10-04 18:45 | Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0262988406 | $7.21 |
| 09-19 10:23 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0659999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 10:23 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2359999964 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 03:19 | Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) | BUY | 0.2999999952 | $12.40 |
| 09-13 03:11 | Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main) | BUY | 0.2899999994 | $64.98 |
| 09-10 17:38 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0629999999 | $13.14 |
| 09-10 17:38 | Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.036 | $9.95 |
| 09-10 17:38 | Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 06:54 | Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 20:35 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.198241204 | $25.00 |
| 08-11 14:36 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 08-11 12:04 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 08-11 10:21 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.2999999928 | $25.00 |