PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5097C20A2f223faab8ee953b25854370177442Ca-1733728593852

0x5097c20a2f223faab8ee953b25854370177442ca

Realised P&L
$49.65
Volume
$11.5k
Markets traded
169
Open portfolio
$28.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded169
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9950.995$16.99−$0.01
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 12-18? · No0.9970.998$11.01+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 12:03Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 12-18?BUY0.997$11.00
10-12 15:10Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.9939999999$48.50
10-11 12:11Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.995$17.00
10-10 15:22Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?BUY0.996$11.00
10-07 09:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 8?BUY0.9978043512$51.00
10-04 22:37Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?BUY0.998$18.00
10-03 07:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 5?BUY0.9982341414$37.80
10-01 14:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?BUY0.995$13.00
09-29 18:29Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.998$56.40
09-25 14:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 26?BUY0.995$24.00
09-24 16:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 25?BUY0.998$18.00
09-23 11:05Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.997$59.20
09-19 11:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 19?BUY0.9969999559$14.00
09-14 06:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 15?BUY0.995$13.00
09-13 18:06Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.996$54.20