0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793e
0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793ee
- Realised P&L
- $128.8k
- Volume
- $3.05M
- Markets traded
- 552
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded552
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.8kat 0.618Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?
- +$7.3kat 0.551Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?
- +$7.1kat 0.600Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?
- +$6.6kat 0.171Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?
- +$6.3kat 0.455Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 137m and 150m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 08:21 | Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 32m? | BUY | 0.95 | $123.50 |
| 09-12 00:00 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | BUY | 0.9034621995 | $2.6k |
| 08-31 00:02 | Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m? | BUY | 0.8942095915 | $629.30 |
| 08-24 00:08 | Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m? | SELL | 0.5315494267 | $68.61 |
| 08-24 00:07 | Will "The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | SELL | 0.1314108038 | $106.19 |
| 08-23 20:21 | Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m? | BUY | 0.4471581515 | $1.1k |
| 08-23 20:18 | Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m? | BUY | 0.2823011779 | $73.34 |
| 08-23 14:59 | Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 20m? | BUY | 0.8383693507 | $488.43 |
| 08-23 05:14 | Will "The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | BUY | 0.41 | $44.44 |
| 08-23 02:07 | Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 21.5m? | SELL | 0.4 | $27.62 |
| 08-23 02:05 | Will "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | BUY | 0.9061321404 | $1.3k |
| 08-22 23:12 | Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 21.5m? | BUY | 0.3272026469 | $57.85 |
| 08-22 23:09 | Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18.5m? | BUY | 0.89 | $1.1k |
| 08-22 14:51 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m? | BUY | 0.6772081228 | $674.30 |
| 08-17 07:41 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.4k |