PolyBot

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Traders

0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793e

0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793ee

Realised P&L
$128.8k
Volume
$3.05M
Markets traded
552
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded552
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? · No0.8240.810$3.3k$59.14
Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 13m? · No0.7500.845$405.83+$45.63
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? · Yes0.3500.136$272.00$428.00
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? · No0.8900.940$18.94+$1.00
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? · No0.9100.995$10.66+$0.91
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m? · Yes0.4440.000$0.00$4.9k
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$50.00
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m? · No0.0150.000$0.00$130.31
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m? · Yes0.2210.000$0.00$1.1k
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? · No0.5940.000$0.00$923.66
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m? · Yes0.2370.000$0.00$1.3k
Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 21.5m? · Yes0.3270.000$0.00$35.26
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m? · No0.3230.000$0.00$854.06
Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$73.80
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 08:21Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?BUY0.95$123.50
09-12 00:00Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?BUY0.9034621995$2.6k
08-31 00:02Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?BUY0.8942095915$629.30
08-24 00:08Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?SELL0.5315494267$68.61
08-24 00:07Will "The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?SELL0.1314108038$106.19
08-23 20:21Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?BUY0.4471581515$1.1k
08-23 20:18Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?BUY0.2823011779$73.34
08-23 14:59Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 20m?BUY0.8383693507$488.43
08-23 05:14Will "The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?BUY0.41$44.44
08-23 02:07Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 21.5m?SELL0.4$27.62
08-23 02:05Will "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?BUY0.9061321404$1.3k
08-22 23:12Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 21.5m?BUY0.3272026469$57.85
08-22 23:09Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18.5m?BUY0.89$1.1k
08-22 14:51Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?BUY0.6772081228$674.30
08-17 07:41Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?SELL0.999$1.4k