samhain4ik
0x50936370f48b7c7f87016ae8ec1462d0200a272c
- Realised P&L
- $13.6k
- Volume
- $9.33M
- Markets traded
- 11,743
- Open portfolio
- $27.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11,743
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.003Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on August 29?
- +$1.7kat 0.009Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on November 4?
- +$1.6kat 0.002Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?
- +$1.4kat 0.019Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?
- +$1.3kat 0.002Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:20 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.15 |
| 09-17 23:50 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.37 |
| 09-17 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.14 |
| 09-17 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.26 |
| 09-17 09:58 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.24 |
| 09-17 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.49 |
| 09-17 09:56 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.45 |
| 09-17 09:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.22 |
| 09-17 09:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 09-17 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.79 |
| 09-17 09:53 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.36 |
| 09-17 09:25 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.34 |
| 09-17 09:08 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.29 |
| 09-17 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.24 |
| 09-17 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |