PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

samhain4ik

0x50936370f48b7c7f87016ae8ec1462d0200a272c

Realised P&L
$13.6k
Volume
$9.33M
Markets traded
11,743
Open portfolio
$27.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11,743
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 17? · Yes0.0010.044$17.60+$17.10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 18? · Yes0.0020.017$1.70+$1.50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17? · Yes0.0010.001$1.30$1.48
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 17? · Yes0.0010.001$1.06$1.11
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 17? · Yes0.0010.001$0.79$1.01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on September 17? · Yes0.0010.001$0.75$0.73
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on September 17? · Yes0.0010.004$0.66+$0.44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 17? · Yes0.0010.001$0.61$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on September 17? · Yes0.0010.001$0.39$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 17? · Yes0.0010.001$0.33$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 17? · Yes0.0010.001$0.30$0.42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on September 17? · Yes0.0010.001$0.24$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 17? · Yes0.0010.001$0.23$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 17? · Yes0.0010.001$0.22$0.32
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 17? · Yes0.0010.001$0.20$0.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:20Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?BUY0.002$0.15
09-17 23:50Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 17?BUY0.001$0.37
09-17 22:11Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 17?BUY0.001$0.14
09-17 10:01Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.001$0.26
09-17 09:58Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on September 17?BUY0.001$0.24
09-17 09:57Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on September 17?BUY0.001$0.49
09-17 09:56Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on September 17?BUY0.001$0.45
09-17 09:55Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 17?BUY0.001$0.22
09-17 09:55Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 17?BUY0.001$0.04
09-17 09:54Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on September 17?BUY0.001$0.79
09-17 09:53Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on September 17?BUY0.001$0.36
09-17 09:25Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 17?BUY0.001$0.34
09-17 09:08Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 17?BUY0.002$0.29
09-17 07:48Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 17?BUY0.001$0.24
09-17 07:45Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on September 17?SELL0.002$0.03