0x50936370f48b7c7f87016ae8ec1462d0200a272c
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 13,607
- Open portfolio
- $18.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded13,607
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.003Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on August 29?
- +$1.7kat 0.009Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on November 4?
- +$1.6kat 0.002Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?
- +$1.4kat 0.019Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?
- +$1.3kat 0.002Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 11:44 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.15 |
| 11-02 11:07 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C or higher on November 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.32 |
| 11-02 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.74 |
| 11-02 11:02 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.05 |
| 11-02 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.14 |
| 11-01 22:21 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.62 |
| 11-01 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.09 |
| 10-31 15:46 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on October 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.42 |
| 10-31 15:46 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.11 |
| 10-31 15:41 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.19 |
| 10-31 15:40 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.16 |
| 10-30 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 72°F or higher on October 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.22 |
| 10-30 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on October 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.36 |
| 10-30 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 10-30 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.40 |