PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x508fb508c566f2b0e4a0dc69e43924bce9aafef3

Realised P&L
$-112.58
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$69.84

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.3740.834$45.04+$24.84
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0260.005$11.50$48.49
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.6200.145$7.68$25.18
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0350.007$5.00$19.99
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0960.004$0.62$14.35
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? · Yes0.3680.000$0.00$29.41

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-25 01:23Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.096$6.82
03-17 18:40Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.032$26.68
03-17 18:19Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0275535505$11.97
03-17 18:19Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0237396885$10.58
03-17 18:14Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.374$20.20
03-17 18:14Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.035$24.29
03-17 18:14Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.017$3.06
03-17 18:13Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.62$32.86