alister-crowley
0x5078f57065a338bd58065e76f02a9f9f5dd28082
- Realised P&L
- $-4.9k
- Volume
- $796.5k
- Markets traded
- 2,304
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,304
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3PM ET · Up | 0.511 | 0.910 | $723.44 | +$317.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up | 0.573 | 0.999 | $634.82 | +$270.58 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.995 | $447.75 | +$222.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.815 | $366.75 | +$141.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.535 | $240.75 | +$15.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.495 | $222.75 | −$2.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.185 | $83.25 | −$141.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.085 | $63.75 | −$311.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.005 | $2.25 | −$222.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.002 | $1.13 | −$373.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$476.22at 0.521Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7AM ET
- +$470.74at 0.473Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4AM ET
- +$458.78at 0.549Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$451.82at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$449.15at 0.459Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 19:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-08 19:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-08 19:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-08 19:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.998640108 | $9.99 |
| 10-08 19:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $9.99 |
| 10-08 19:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $9.99 |
| 10-08 19:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.98 |
| 10-08 19:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-08 19:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 10-08 19:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-08 19:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-08 19:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-08 19:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9801048911 | $19.80 |
| 10-08 19:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 10-08 19:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.875 | $17.50 |