XiaoTian
0x5077efccd942c689aea84c10c7577121ed7c5ba3
- Realised P&L
- $8.8k
- Volume
- $5.51M
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $900.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.900 | $900.00 | +$10.00 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.920Kamala Harris blowout victory?
- +$1.9kat 0.656Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.0kat 0.024Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$783.09at 0.033Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$756.00at 0.620Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 08:14 | LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports - Game 3 Winner | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 09-28 07:48 | LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs | SELL | 0.986 | $98.60 |
| 09-28 02:05 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-21 10:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | BUY | 0.987 | $39.48 |
| 08-21 10:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? | BUY | 0.987 | $98.70 |
| 05-20 08:12 | Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.40 |
| 04-17 09:25 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9669999999 | $137.45 |
| 04-17 09:23 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | SELL | 0.592 | $73.33 |
| 04-14 07:24 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $60.61 |
| 04-14 07:17 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999999 | $59.94 |
| 04-14 07:14 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | BUY | 0.8072664672 | $100.00 |
| 04-09 10:18 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.029 | $534.41 |
| 04-09 04:59 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.029 | $95.60 |
| 04-08 04:51 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.03 | $26.73 |
| 04-08 04:51 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.03 | $21.22 |