polichsehyun
0x5074d2ca173a1434dfc4362fb3bb28a72e35977b
- Realised P&L
- $3.1k
- Volume
- $95.5k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $265.84
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15? · Yes | 0.913 | 0.962 | $265.84 | +$13.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 9? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.92 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 4? · Yes | 0.641 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.28 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 4? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$751.31at 0.438Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 3?
- +$228.58at 0.815Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?
- +$173.49at 0.795Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 5?
- +$165.49at 0.542Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5?
- +$145.89at 0.815Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.9399620003 | $123.68 |
| 10-14 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.928 | $22.76 |
| 10-14 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.9179276254 | $49.21 |
| 10-14 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.9503983852 | $357.84 |
| 10-14 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.08 |
| 10-14 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.7748007174 | $19.44 |
| 10-14 15:51 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.9714397979 | $138.45 |
| 10-05 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $86.16 |
| 10-05 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.13 |
| 10-05 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.8338872957 | $58.16 |
| 10-05 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.86 | $6.88 |
| 10-05 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.951 | $9.51 |
| 10-05 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.9078861296 | $29.98 |
| 10-05 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.1643859649 | $2.34 |
| 10-05 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.7716824395 | $36.69 |