Dorotheafdb
0x506b4d1a0b270d612d91f8b99d46f7087cd9e006
- Realised P&L
- $-150.54
- Volume
- $25.9k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $335.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$290.75at 0.500Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$284.86at 0.500Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$274.33at 0.500Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$265.89at 0.500Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$244.03at 0.500Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:10 | Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.79 | $91.64 |
| 11-02 06:08 | Bucks vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.8 | $246.40 |
| 10-31 07:18 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.40 |
| 10-31 07:18 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $403.19 |
| 10-31 07:17 | Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $19.36 |
| 10-31 07:17 | Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $389.22 |
| 10-31 07:15 | Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.995 | $15.62 |
| 10-31 07:15 | Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $409.00 |
| 10-31 07:15 | Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.995 | $408.94 |
| 10-31 07:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.41 |
| 10-31 07:14 | Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.996 | $198.00 |
| 10-31 07:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $101.80 |
| 10-31 07:14 | Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.996 | $227.00 |
| 10-31 07:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $305.39 |
| 10-31 07:13 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.032 | $13.12 |