Dannyboi69
0x506a8d8d9c33760fa9f6e613e9367d93ad3caf7b
- Realised P&L
- $-225.18
- Volume
- $36.2k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.12at 0.073Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
- +$48.07at 0.492UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)
- +$7.58at 0.626Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$3.95at 0.950Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
- +$3.73at 0.941US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 08:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.37 | $63.17 |
| 11-01 07:36 | Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $13.58 |
| 11-01 07:35 | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? | BUY | 0.2871287105 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 07:34 | Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? | SELL | 0.964 | $62.72 |
| 11-01 07:15 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T? | BUY | 0.060354495 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 18:36 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.042 | $6.68 |
| 10-30 10:47 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $70.00 |
| 10-30 10:46 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999983 | $27.77 |
| 10-29 16:23 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.44 | $97.77 |
| 10-28 10:18 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.45 | $99.99 |
| 10-28 08:09 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999986 | $10.43 |
| 10-28 07:22 | US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | BUY | 0.0391802128 | $20.00 |
| 10-27 22:19 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999969 | $12.58 |
| 10-27 22:00 | Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $70.93 |
| 10-27 21:44 | Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27? | BUY | 0.0289999998 | $5.00 |