PolyBot

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Traders

Dannyboi69

0x506a8d8d9c33760fa9f6e613e9367d93ad3caf7b

Realised P&L
$-225.18
Volume
$36.2k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1500.185$141.83+$26.83
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0720.051$126.58−$51.29
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · No0.8200.805$117.80−$2.19
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2240.255$110.28+$13.55
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · Yes0.0390.030$94.31−$25.69
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6300.705$84.99+$9.04
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.0800.055$55.00−$25.00
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6700.735$54.84+$4.85
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · No0.7700.755$49.03−$0.97
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? · Yes0.2360.255$43.26+$3.26
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.1000.085$42.50−$7.50
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T? · Yes0.0600.075$37.28+$7.28
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.3540.335$36.50−$2.09
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0710.050$16.61−$6.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 08:29Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.37$63.17
11-01 07:36Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$13.58
11-01 07:35Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?BUY0.2871287105$20.00
11-01 07:34Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?SELL0.964$62.72
11-01 07:15Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?BUY0.060354495$30.00
10-31 18:36Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.042$6.68
10-30 10:47Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4099999984$70.00
10-30 10:46Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2599999983$27.77
10-29 16:23Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.44$97.77
10-28 10:18Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.45$99.99
10-28 08:09Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2099999986$10.43
10-28 07:22US takes Panama Canal before 2027?BUY0.0391802128$20.00
10-27 22:19Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2199999969$12.58
10-27 22:00Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?SELL0.999$70.93
10-27 21:44Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?BUY0.0289999998$5.00