0x5063a6dcd30dad46a3cb49b9d2378e63f53ae06d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.28
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $146.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.976 | $146.40 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.97at 0.936Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$0.45at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or higher on March 14?
- +$0.15at 0.999Katana FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$0.15at 0.999Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on March 14?
- +$-4.09at 0.987USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 01:46 | APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.98 | $147.00 |
| 05-15 01:45 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.946 | $142.85 |
| 04-21 12:36 | USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9597482 | $143.96 |
| 03-20 04:32 | USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.987 | $99.23 |
| 03-15 06:43 | Katana FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 03-14 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on March 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.96 |