PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

whyareyoureadingthis

0x505e11d5604818639790925d031608646d5daffc

Realised P&L
$-11.8k
Volume
$3.15M
Markets traded
6,575
Open portfolio
$145.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,575
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5600.535$5.35−$0.25
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.9880.946$4.78−$0.22
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9300.994$4.28+$0.28
Love Wins: 2026 Edition · No0.8300.855$4.12+$0.12
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.9200.941$4.09+$0.09
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? · Yes0.9100.925$4.07+$0.07
Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.9400.948$4.03+$0.03
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · No0.7000.935$4.01+$1.01
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.9920.941$3.79−$0.21
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? · No0.9000.835$3.71−$0.29
Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No0.8900.820$3.69−$0.31
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? · No0.9100.835$3.67−$0.33
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9540.861$3.61−$0.39
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.8000.936$3.51+$0.51
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6400.735$3.45+$0.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 11:03Huddle FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.957$3.87
09-02 11:02Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?SELL0.81$3.79
09-02 11:02Will Zaļo un Zemnieku Savienība (ZZS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?SELL0.998$4.01
09-02 11:02Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.99$3.98
09-02 11:01Hurupay FDV above $30M one day after launch?SELL0.936$3.98
09-02 11:01Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.979$3.95
09-02 11:012026 Balance of Power: OtherSELL0.997$4.00
09-02 11:01Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?SELL0.997$4.01
09-02 11:00Will XRP reach $3.60 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.933$4.01
09-02 11:00Makina FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.937$4.18
09-02 11:00Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?SELL0.971$4.13
09-02 10:59Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?SELL0.72$4.18
09-02 10:58Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.999$4.08
09-02 10:58Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.64$4.13
09-02 10:58Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?SELL0.981$4.31