whyareyoureadingthis
0x505e11d5604818639790925d031608646d5daffc
- Realised P&L
- $-10.2k
- Volume
- $3.22M
- Markets traded
- 6,575
- Open portfolio
- $189.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,575
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 13?
- +$1.3kat 0.750Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 18?
- +$946.65at 0.750Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 13?
- +$784.19at 0.750Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 16?
- +$634.37at 0.700Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 11:03 | Huddle FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.957 | $3.87 |
| 09-02 11:02 | Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record? | SELL | 0.81 | $3.79 |
| 09-02 11:02 | Will Zaļo un Zemnieku Savienība (ZZS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.01 |
| 09-02 11:02 | Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.98 |
| 09-02 11:01 | Hurupay FDV above $30M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.936 | $3.98 |
| 09-02 11:01 | Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.979 | $3.95 |
| 09-02 11:01 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | SELL | 0.997 | $4.00 |
| 09-02 11:01 | Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.997 | $4.01 |
| 09-02 11:00 | Will XRP reach $3.60 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.933 | $4.01 |
| 09-02 11:00 | Makina FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.937 | $4.18 |
| 09-02 11:00 | Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $4.13 |
| 09-02 10:59 | Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $4.18 |
| 09-02 10:58 | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.08 |
| 09-02 10:58 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.64 | $4.13 |
| 09-02 10:58 | Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.981 | $4.31 |