0x505b8C652faF383995920AE7478B2d4bf48BabEe-1768573180430
0x505b8c652faf383995920ae7478b2d4bf48babee
- Realised P&L
- $-250.89
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,772
- Open portfolio
- $19.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,772
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 8? · Down | 0.940 | 1.000 | $5.32 | +$0.32 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8? · Down | 0.980 | 1.000 | $5.10 | +$0.10 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8? · Up | 0.930 | 1.000 | $2.15 | +$0.15 |
| Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 8? · Up | 0.470 | 1.000 | $2.13 | +$1.13 |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 8? · Down | 0.970 | 1.000 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.500 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 in October? · No | 0.690 | 0.550 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on October 8? · Down | 0.760 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 8? · Down | 0.713 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.45at 0.526Como: Max Schoenhaus vs Matej Dodig
- +$14.10at 0.332Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$12.73at 0.517Plovdiv 3: Yanaki Milev vs Valerio Aboian
- +$12.06at 0.650Rams vs. Bears
- +$11.67at 0.468Como: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Jay Clarke
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:52 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.939999812 | $4.00 |
| 10-08 17:48 | Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.7129998674 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:46 | Meta (META) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.9 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 17:43 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 17:42 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:38 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:34 | Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 17:34 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 17:33 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 16:31 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 7? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.45 |
| 10-07 16:24 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:22 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.9689999777 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:20 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.8499997025 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:18 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.9129999717 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:17 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.9689999777 | $1.00 |