dkfls
0x5051fa4b64d349d1d2b70496c36768c37edcb364
- Realised P&L
- $-34.18
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $25.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will voter turnout be less than 62% in the 2026 Spanish general election? · No | 0.920 | 0.935 | $15.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election? · No | 0.855 | 0.895 | $10.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.47at 0.385Will Partido Popular win 25-27 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?
- +$25.33at 0.800FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
- +$24.00at 0.690Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?
- +$16.70at 0.808GTA 6 launch postponed again?
- +$11.53at 0.992Will Partido Popular win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 14:05 | Will voter turnout be less than 62% in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.9199999902 | $15.00 |
| 10-14 14:03 | Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.8548707329 | $10.00 |
| 06-05 14:52 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 05-21 21:20 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 05-21 21:16 | Will VOX (VOX) win 22 or more seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.99 |
| 05-21 21:15 | Will VOX (VOX) win 19-21 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election? | SELL | 0.999 | $35.49 |
| 04-15 07:22 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.84 | $29.40 |
| 04-15 07:21 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 04-15 07:18 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.84 | $67.20 |
| 04-14 13:04 | Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%? | BUY | 0.841 | $8.41 |
| 04-14 10:44 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.403 | $30.23 |
| 04-11 21:02 | Will Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | BUY | 0.99 | $6.66 |
| 04-07 20:37 | Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.07 | $6.93 |
| 03-25 08:10 | Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? | BUY | 0.997 | $83.75 |
| 03-25 08:10 | Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? | BUY | 0.996 | $8.27 |