pingjiang
0x5051edfa57802233bbb06b6ddcb0d75111741fcb
- Realised P&L
- $33.27
- Volume
- $95.5k
- Markets traded
- 235
- Open portfolio
- $10.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded235
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.530 | 0.850 | $8.50 | +$3.20 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.080 | $1.60 | −$5.20 |
| Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava · Pedro Boscardin Dias | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.53 |
| Will Maxx Crosby be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.01 |
| Will J.J. McCarthy be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.01 |
| Will Rashee Rice be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.01 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.76 |
| Will Derek Carr be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.63at 0.650Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
- +$105.09at 0.66049ers vs. Jets
- +$85.80at 0.653Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$45.40at 0.092Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
- +$43.87at 0.406XRP Up or Down on June 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 16:03 | Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava | BUY | 0.27 | $1.53 |
| 06-06 10:23 | XRP Up or Down on June 6? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 01-17 11:46 | Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 01-03 12:22 | Will the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 12-11 13:34 | Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.0159064327 | $2.55 |
| 12-06 14:22 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.022 | $2.20 |
| 12-06 13:33 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.80 |
| 11-29 14:19 | Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025? | SELL | 0.104 | $2.08 |
| 11-29 14:18 | Sharks vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 11-17 13:15 | Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 21? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.10 |
| 11-10 12:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on November 14? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 11-08 03:37 | Jets vs. Sharks | BUY | 0.6299999887 | $10.01 |
| 11-08 03:32 | Northwestern vs. USC | BUY | 0.8699999869 | $40.36 |
| 11-08 03:31 | Houston vs. UCF | BUY | 0.7111111111 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 10:11 | XRP Up or Down on July 7? | BUY | 0.4399999899 | $7.00 |