PolyBot

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Traders

SantaKlausSkeptic

0x50451d09e4f8f39a11d1f022a58ec4e60f3d4b5b

Realised P&L
$-735.34
Volume
$50.3k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$13.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · Yes0.1000.085$13.46$2.37
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1000.030$0.30$0.69
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$12.55
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$40.00
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$133.00
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$18.00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026? · Yes0.7260.000$0.00$200.00
49ers vs. Eagles · Eagles0.2700.000$0.00$25.00
Will the US strike Syria next? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$10.40
Will JD Vance say "Radical Left" at AmericaFest events on December 21? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$10.00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.50
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$10.00
Miami vs. Indiana · Miami0.2700.000$0.00$100.00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$25.13
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday? · No0.3700.000$0.00$33.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 17:53Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.3599999208$2.00
02-10 15:25Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.03$6.00
02-10 15:24US x China Military clash before 2027?SELL0.05$7.55
02-10 15:14US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?BUY0.013$10.00
02-10 15:07Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?SELL0.013$10.05
01-28 19:14Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?BUY0.0517521072$40.00
01-28 13:37Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?SELL0.2$40.00
01-26 06:51Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?BUY0.31$50.89
01-26 06:48US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?SELL0.05$60.00
01-26 06:47Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?BUY0.2799999966$40.00
01-26 06:47Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?BUY0.7262077429$200.00
01-26 06:45Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?SELL0.2634185112$123.29
01-25 09:56Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?SELL0.1113674547$55.68
01-24 03:39Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?SELL0.23$6.71
01-24 02:04Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?SELL0.2922621757$154.10