0x5044C3252890F5165d832341552e31dEf16929a9-1761104857085
0x5044c3252890f5165d832341552e31def16929a9
- Realised P&L
- $-309.29
- Volume
- $8.2k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $27.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$636.43at 0.560Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
- +$532.22at 0.211Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
- +$58.59at 0.170Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?
- +$35.00at 0.300Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
- +$27.39at 0.651Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 22:32 | Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0439999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 22:32 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 22:30 | Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 22:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 22:28 | Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.9249768977 | $92.49 |
| 05-04 11:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $24.75 |
| 05-04 10:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 10:55 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 05-04 10:55 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 05-04 10:55 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | BUY | 0.5599999978 | $30.00 |
| 05-04 10:52 | AI data center moratorium passed before 2027? | SELL | 0.059 | $0.73 |
| 05-04 10:50 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $50.42 |
| 02-09 17:56 | Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13? | BUY | 0.1187572394 | $5.00 |
| 02-09 17:55 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 02-09 17:55 | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0379999965 | $10.00 |