Mmessi
0x50421deacc2fc23fc2c50913cd0cd536ab04f786
- Realised P&L
- $-260.10
- Volume
- $56.0k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $34.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$213.56at 0.089Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$130.13at 0.064Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14?
- +$82.64at 0.146Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04?
- +$66.04at 0.340Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14?
- +$43.13at 0.171Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 12:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.029 | $3.57 |
| 10-15 12:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.0339999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 12:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15? | SELL | 0.007 | $3.05 |
| 10-15 09:03 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 09:03 | Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 07:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.0289999998 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 03:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.038 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 20:24 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.0899999982 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 18:11 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4499999978 | $30.00 |
| 10-14 14:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14? | SELL | 0.691 | $22.35 |
| 10-14 14:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.0094978307 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 14:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14? | SELL | 0.4869276438 | $21.00 |
| 10-14 13:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.0126623377 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 13:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14? | SELL | 0.175 | $3.50 |
| 10-14 12:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.015 | $8.27 |