PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mmessi

0x50421deacc2fc23fc2c50913cd0cd536ab04f786

Realised P&L
$-260.10
Volume
$56.0k
Markets traded
108
Open portfolio
$34.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded108
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16? · No0.0330.032$13.15−$0.43
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-15? · Yes0.3700.365$9.86−$0.14
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-15? · Yes0.2700.265$9.81−$0.19
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0290.004$1.21−$8.79
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-10? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$10.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$9.84
Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$3.65
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-09? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$8.00
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-30? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$5.00
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz · Carlos Alcaraz0.5500.000$0.00−$16.49
Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-23? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$18.62
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.0560.000$0.00−$41.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 12:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16?BUY0.029$3.57
10-15 12:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16?BUY0.0339999999$10.00
10-15 12:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15?SELL0.007$3.05
10-15 09:03Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-15?BUY0.3699999867$10.00
10-15 09:03Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-15?BUY0.269999993$10.00
10-15 07:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15?BUY0.0289999998$5.00
10-15 03:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15?BUY0.038$10.00
10-14 20:24Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.0899999982$3.00
10-14 18:11Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.4499999978$30.00
10-14 14:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14?SELL0.691$22.35
10-14 14:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?BUY0.0094978307$5.00
10-14 14:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14?SELL0.4869276438$21.00
10-14 13:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?BUY0.0126623377$3.00
10-14 13:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14?SELL0.175$3.50
10-14 12:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 14?BUY0.015$8.27