Sashok13
0x5038dae582fa6f46478758cbba9c1e4eba5399ee
- Realised P&L
- $-488.69
- Volume
- $28.2k
- Markets traded
- 453
- Open portfolio
- $93.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded453
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Mystics vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.5 · Over | 0.900 | 1.000 | $49.98 | +$4.97 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.087 | 0.864 | $25.90 | +$23.29 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September? · No | 0.770 | 0.895 | $17.90 | +$2.50 |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5 · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.75 |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5 · Over | 0.692 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.69 |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5 · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.75 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.60 |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5 · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.50 |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5 · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.55 |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5 · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.75 |
| Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.20 |
| Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.25 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5 · Over | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.25 |
| Will FK Zenit win on 2026-08-09? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.60 |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.00at 0.939Will Alex Caruso win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
- +$51.90at 0.710Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5
- +$38.00at 0.620Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5
- +$37.00at 0.896Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5
- +$36.72at 0.082Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 01:17 | Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 169.5 | SELL | 0.54 | $10.79 |
| 09-15 08:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 08-31 00:29 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire: O/U 159.5 | SELL | 0.39 | $5.85 |
| 08-30 20:43 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 175.5 | SELL | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 03:32 | Toronto Tempo vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5 | BUY | 0.82 | $24.60 |
| 08-27 03:44 | Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5 | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 08-27 03:42 | Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5 | SELL | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 08-27 00:31 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 153.5 | BUY | 0.989 | $296.70 |
| 08-27 00:31 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 153.5 | BUY | 0.989 | $296.70 |
| 08-26 03:27 | Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 08-26 01:50 | Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 08-23 02:39 | Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 166.5 | BUY | 0.97 | $29.10 |
| 08-23 01:55 | Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 166.5 | SELL | 0.34 | $50.98 |
| 08-21 07:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 21? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.60 |
| 08-21 07:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 21? | BUY | 0.021 | $2.10 |