PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

deprecated-user

0x5037e7285bbdbaa095ae132ec1c95391cd4b38f4

Realised P&L
$10.1k
Volume
$89.1k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$103.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0560.051$103.00−$8.85
Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00−$460.56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$153.99
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? · No0.2360.000$0.00−$922.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 03:31Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.318$28.30
09-25 13:35Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7$71.15
09-21 22:26Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.24$240.00
09-21 22:24Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05757232$57.57
09-21 22:23Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.24$240.00
09-21 22:21Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7039160997$280.39
09-21 22:20Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.69$413.99
09-19 21:12Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.25888$129.44
09-19 21:10Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.65$65.00
09-19 20:56Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?BUY0.69$138.00
09-19 20:55Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0548609556$49.37
09-19 20:54Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.65$325.00
09-19 20:21Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.65$195.00
09-19 20:18Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?BUY0.24$96.00
09-19 20:18Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?SELL0.89$89.00