Esmememeralda
0x5037a31becf732f54d7cde7ab2760f0a844f0307
- Realised P&L
- $-582.07
- Volume
- $130.7k
- Markets traded
- 468
- Open portfolio
- $689.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded468
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.84at 0.667TikTok sale announced by September 30?
- +$67.53at 0.816Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
- +$67.13at 0.947Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
- +$58.66at 0.871Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$54.29at 0.727Over $3M committed to the Fluent public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-18 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 09-18 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 09-18 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.98 | $39.20 |
| 09-17 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.989 | $18.70 |
| 09-17 09:55 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 09-17 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 09-17 09:53 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 09-17 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.97 |
| 09-17 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $79.90 |
| 09-17 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.91 | $5.92 |
| 09-17 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.92 | $7.82 |
| 09-17 01:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.984 | $9.84 |
| 09-17 01:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 09-17 01:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |