SlanderX
0x503602299d03f7c20941e0937efdf9077c28187f
- Realised P&L
- $483.02
- Volume
- $110.9k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $290.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16? · Yes | 0.997 | 1.000 | $289.86 | +$0.72 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 17? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.009 | $0.90 | −$2.90 |
| Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$288.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$250.22at 0.371Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$163.63at 0.757SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
- +$151.52at 0.413Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$108.70at 0.710Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$80.76at 0.800Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 15:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.038 | $3.80 |
| 09-11 15:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.15 |
| 09-11 14:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $220.31 |
| 09-04 15:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 4? | SELL | 0.997 | $199.40 |
| 09-03 07:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $901.10 |
| 09-01 12:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $94.91 |
| 09-01 12:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.99 |
| 09-01 12:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 13:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on August 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $98.39 |
| 08-26 13:07 | Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)? | BUY | 0.994 | $95.42 |
| 08-26 12:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 26? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 08-25 03:35 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on August 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 08-25 03:35 | Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on August 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.64 |
| 08-24 12:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $65.87 |
| 08-21 13:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 22? | SELL | 0.374 | $26.18 |