0x5032c8bd0d9639507f2d4b5a7aae50e3da2e14e3
0x5032c8bd0d9639507f2d4b5a7aae50e3da2e14e3
- Realised P&L
- $-6.68
- Volume
- $80.31
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $2.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $156 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.815 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.670 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.07at 0.440Grok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?
- +$1.25at 0.450SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?
- +$0.86at 0.650US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$0.63at 0.718S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 09:43 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $156 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:04 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:03 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:50 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:48 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 20:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.4299998945 | $1.59 |
| 08-17 12:32 | Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7699999128 | $1.59 |
| 08-17 04:22 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $930 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999877 | $1.59 |
| 08-13 03:46 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 13? | BUY | 0.2199999142 | $1.59 |
| 08-12 19:01 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999115 | $1.59 |
| 08-11 10:46 | Grok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998945 | $1.59 |
| 08-11 01:49 | Grok 4.6 released by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999115 | $1.59 |
| 08-10 17:44 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 10? | BUY | 0.7099999375 | $1.59 |