Chilitrading
0x502832c3648f40e763868f057d90b824829da526
- Realised P&L
- $659.24
- Volume
- $134.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,271
- Open portfolio
- $194.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,271
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.955 | $100.52 | +$1.58 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.710 | $78.02 | −$21.98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9? · Yes | 0.940 | 1.000 | $10.52 | +$0.63 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.996 | $5.40 | +$0.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$36.61 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.945 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$36.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 17? · Yes | 0.451 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.53at 0.104Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?
- +$59.82at 0.437Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 31?
- +$46.90at 0.669Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 3?
- +$44.54at 0.195Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8?
- +$38.19at 0.642Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $63.76 |
| 09-18 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $108.58 |
| 09-18 09:55 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.94 | $98.94 |
| 09-18 09:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.80 |
| 09-18 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.7856058515 | $85.39 |
| 09-18 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $42.97 |
| 09-18 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $135.71 |
| 09-18 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.60 |
| 09-18 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9451124744 | $36.97 |
| 09-18 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.74 | $4.15 |
| 09-18 01:04 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.87 | $36.63 |
| 09-17 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $128.65 |
| 09-17 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.8899999648 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 21:58 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.93 | $20.90 |