PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wedor

0x50246b42c852c96f231e6f9014640addaeed3007

Realised P&L
$-381.33
Volume
$214.1k
Markets traded
1,019
Open portfolio
$367.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,019
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? · Yes0.3680.998$132.75+$83.73
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19? · Yes0.3280.395$101.50+$17.10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18? · No0.6430.998$86.35+$30.73
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18? · No0.5191.000$12.30+$5.91
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 20? · No0.4500.345$10.01$3.04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 19? · No0.5940.475$8.55$2.15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 20? · No0.8500.880$7.04+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 20? · Yes0.3000.335$4.82+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 19? · Yes0.0890.010$1.94$15.31
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 19? · No0.4510.045$1.30$11.77
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 19? · Yes0.0500.010$0.75$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 18? · Yes0.1400.001$0.22$62.36
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18? · No0.4950.003$0.20$32.47
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 19? · Yes0.0300.001$0.11$3.10
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 18? · Yes0.0580.002$0.03$1.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 17:53Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 11?SELL0.999$39.96
09-05 12:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 4?SELL0.999$11.99
09-05 12:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 4?SELL0.999$56.94
09-05 12:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 5?SELL0.999$58.93
08-31 00:09Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 30?SELL0.999$27.92
08-30 15:36Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 30?SELL0.999$51.17
08-29 11:38Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 29?SELL0.999$22.98
08-29 11:33Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 29?SELL0.999$63.94
08-29 11:33Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?SELL0.999$195.66
08-28 13:35Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 28?SELL0.999$61.94
08-28 13:35Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 28?SELL0.999$23.98
08-24 18:17Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?SELL0.999$142.86
08-23 16:44Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 22?SELL0.999$37.96
08-23 16:43Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 23?SELL0.999$25.96
08-23 16:43Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 23?SELL0.999$52.94