PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Alphie

0x501fd2c63c8ed110fbac12ee6f285550a007f746

Realised P&L
$-13.5k
Volume
$773.3k
Markets traded
394
Open portfolio
$41.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded394
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 05:00Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?BUY0.4925453265$40.00
10-20 04:59Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?BUY0.1971443639$20.00
10-20 04:58Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?BUY0.1881188109$10.00
10-20 04:57Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?BUY0.0245904998$10.00
10-20 04:07Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.0659448815$5.00
10-20 04:07Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.809999997$40.00
10-20 04:05Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?BUY0.3099999954$10.00
10-20 04:03Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.5259188591$10.00
10-20 04:02Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.755999994$30.00
10-20 04:01Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.5 and 3.9% in 2026?BUY0.0092081879$5.00
10-20 03:57Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?BUY0.2435168319$50.00
10-20 03:54Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?BUY0.1857993553$20.00
10-20 03:52Will "Leave" win the Alberta independence referendum?BUY0.0259465254$21.00
10-20 03:34Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?BUY0.2189054711$20.00
10-20 03:33Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?BUY0.3317073151$20.00