0x5016c48436AB3eFA2Ab54b117d0C08fa1a4a1eEB-1778328420816
0x5016c48436ab3efa2ab54b117d0c08fa1a4a1eeb
- Realised P&L
- $38.9k
- Volume
- $2.49M
- Markets traded
- 369
- Open portfolio
- $773.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded369
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.8kat 0.726Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
- +$16.6kat 0.696Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
- +$11.4kat 0.627Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$8.6kat 0.873Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
- +$8.2kat 0.527Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 06:45 | Will Saint-Martin win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.8599999998 | $500.00 |
| 09-23 06:43 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.7092907093 | $200.00 |
| 09-21 15:02 | Will Dominica win on 2026-09-21? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $200.00 |
| 09-21 15:02 | Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-09-21? | BUY | 0.6199999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 17:39 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.0k |
| 09-20 17:10 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | SELL | 0.0302940024 | $30.91 |
| 09-20 16:58 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.5k |
| 09-20 16:55 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.78 | $4.0k |
| 09-20 16:54 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5299999994 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 16:53 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.6899999997 | $500.00 |
| 09-20 06:21 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.0k |
| 09-20 06:20 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4899999996 | $500.00 |
| 09-19 20:00 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5399999931 | $15.73 |
| 09-19 19:02 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $200.00 |
| 09-19 16:25 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.7699999999 | $1.1k |