GCNO1
0x5011224f4848cb2cf2d87cf2b823551dfd0e220e
- Realised P&L
- $-38.0k
- Volume
- $8.67M
- Markets traded
- 1,606
- Open portfolio
- $8.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,606
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.821Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?
- +$6.6kat 0.989MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$6.6kat 0.815Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$6.1kat 0.928Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
- +$5.7kat 0.865Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 02:49 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.91 |
| 08-30 08:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $6.35 |
| 08-16 06:44 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $4.53 |
| 08-14 02:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.12 |
| 08-12 01:26 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.16 |
| 08-11 03:57 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9620280508 | $367.99 |
| 08-11 03:57 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9461865929 | $779.70 |
| 08-11 03:56 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.9555293791 | $378.42 |
| 08-11 03:56 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9698789138 | $135.37 |
| 08-11 03:54 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $2.5k |
| 08-10 01:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.25 |
| 08-09 17:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.5k |
| 08-09 13:19 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.975 | $49.73 |
| 08-09 13:19 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9759315537 | $71.29 |
| 08-09 05:05 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.8965822785 | $354.15 |