PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

GCNO1

0x5011224f4848cb2cf2d87cf2b823551dfd0e220e

Realised P&L
$-38.0k
Volume
$8.67M
Markets traded
1,606
Open portfolio
$8.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,606
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.8630.905$2.6k+$119.96
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · No0.8500.950$1.9k+$201.42
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · No0.8000.941$1.0k+$156.51
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.9100.966$965.50+$55.50
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · No0.9030.993$591.24+$53.79
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · No0.7900.979$543.35+$104.89
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.6010.860$390.79+$117.71
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.4600.605$302.50+$72.50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6700.125$250.00$1.1k
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? · No0.3200.380$114.00+$18.00
Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.8600.615$61.50$24.50
Will Rho Labs launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1810.024$2.29$14.98
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? · No0.7640.195$1.46$4.26
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? · Yes0.6230.000$0.00$464.33
Will Robert Tracinski be the VA-05 Democratic nominee? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 02:49Israel closes its airspace by August 31?SELL0.001$1.91
08-30 08:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.006$6.35
08-16 06:44Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?SELL0.005$4.53
08-14 02:08US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?SELL0.009$0.12
08-12 01:26US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?SELL0.001$0.16
08-11 03:57Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 15, 2026?BUY0.9620280508$367.99
08-11 03:57Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 14, 2026?BUY0.9461865929$779.70
08-11 03:56Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 12, 2026?BUY0.9555293791$378.42
08-11 03:56Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026?BUY0.9698789138$135.37
08-11 03:54US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?BUY0.987$2.5k
08-10 01:39US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?SELL0.001$1.25
08-09 17:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.995$2.5k
08-09 13:19Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 9, 2026?BUY0.975$49.73
08-09 13:19Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 9, 2026?BUY0.9759315537$71.29
08-09 05:05Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?BUY0.8965822785$354.15