316470
0x500ed64d714b6411f2f9efce96d0972362e77c9a
- Realised P&L
- $-470.47
- Volume
- $72.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,877
- Open portfolio
- $25.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,877
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$175.00at 0.130Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 21?
- +$92.75at 0.029Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 26?
- +$75.00at 0.100Will Solana dip to $170 October 27-November 2?
- +$70.00at 0.760Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 October 27-November 2?
- +$60.00at 0.760Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 19:19 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 10-05 19:18 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 10-05 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 10-04 18:24 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 10-04 18:23 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 10-03 19:47 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 10-03 19:46 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 10-02 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 10-02 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 10-01 16:33 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.75 |
| 10-01 16:33 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 10-01 16:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 10-01 16:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 09-30 18:30 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 09-30 18:29 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |