0x5008d9a5944f7801b49aee6e680b41b41b8b42a9
0x5008d9a5944f7801b49aee6e680b41b41b8b42a9
- Realised P&L
- $-9.14
- Volume
- $113.21
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $0.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.505 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.68at 0.369Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
- +$2.46at 0.389Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
- +$2.17at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.450Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$1.63at 0.490Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of August 24 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 10:54 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:55 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:37 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 12:23 | Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 16:22 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6199996758 | $1.53 |
| 09-01 09:08 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on September 1? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.53 |
| 09-01 01:06 | Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.53 |
| 08-30 16:51 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999699 | $1.53 |
| 08-30 07:57 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? | BUY | 0.6099998751 | $1.27 |
| 08-29 10:28 | Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 08-25 12:35 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999008 | $1.53 |
| 08-25 02:38 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999195 | $1.53 |
| 08-24 16:22 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $67 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999363 | $1.53 |
| 08-24 08:15 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.53 |
| 08-23 22:58 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.53 |