0x500664df9b82fa45a581c513bf7d9fee8ade5eaa
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $85.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hili Tropper be the next Israeli Minister of Justice? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.175 | $39.22 | +$9.82 |
| Will Iran target Oman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.355 | $29.55 | +$23.17 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Together? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.115 | $16.91 | +$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.51at 0.109Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Together + YB?
- +$16.40at 0.151Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- +$12.45at 0.115Will the next Israeli government hold between 58 and 60 seats?
- +$8.28at 0.170Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?
- +$-1.18at 0.230Will "God's Plan" by Drake be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 04:30 | Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Together? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.60 |
| 11-02 04:29 | Will the next Israeli government hold between 58 and 60 seats? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 11-02 04:29 | Will the next Israeli government hold between 58 and 60 seats? | SELL | 0.1254054054 | $23.20 |
| 11-02 04:27 | Will Hili Tropper be the next Israeli Minister of Justice? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 04:27 | Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Together? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.55 |
| 11-02 04:26 | Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Together? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 11-02 04:26 | Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Together? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 11-02 04:26 | Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Together? | SELL | 0.1279868709 | $11.70 |
| 11-02 04:26 | Will Hili Tropper be the next Israeli Minister of Justice? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.20 |
| 11-02 04:26 | Will Hili Tropper be the next Israeli Minister of Justice? | SELL | 0.1613833256 | $27.72 |
| 11-02 04:25 | Will Iran target Oman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $6.25 |
| 11-02 04:02 | Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Together + YB? | SELL | 0.0844853106 | $3.77 |
| 11-02 04:02 | Will Hili Tropper be the next Israeli Minister of Justice? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.38 |
| 11-02 04:01 | Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Together? | SELL | 0.13 | $9.88 |
| 11-02 04:01 | Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Together? | BUY | 0.11 | $36.74 |